Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.917260 2.293727 2.716364 3.224757 3.818424 4.488414 5.300445
2026-01-25 1.315024 1.773003 2.343596 3.101829 4.077429 5.284364 6.883638
2026-02-01 0.955457 1.424764 2.062503 2.981997 4.261152 5.962916 8.380260
2026-02-08 0.752374 1.223260 1.912146 2.975650 4.553658 6.781049 10.127193
2026-02-15 0.611779 1.074602 1.797442 2.982167 4.840793 7.600451 11.947346
2026-02-22 0.498493 0.940858 1.674691 2.944906 5.040423 8.295690 13.643014
2026-03-01 0.392782 0.795312 1.503293 2.794700 5.029488 8.652105 14.840893
2026-03-08 0.327128 0.706458 1.410114 2.755710 5.185797 9.276309 16.509587
2026-03-15 0.277398 0.636820 1.337825 2.738790 5.370810 9.957322 18.326999
2026-03-22 0.256279 0.620322 1.361643 2.900013 5.888536 11.250263 21.295724
2026-03-29 0.230005 0.587162 1.346496 2.982203 6.266316 12.328885 23.982654
2026-04-05 0.211012 0.566246 1.352460 3.105638 6.733946 13.608924 27.136575
2026-04-12 0.183827 0.521186 1.301421 3.107901 6.970954 14.498676 29.685079
2026-04-19 0.153039 0.460198 1.204599 2.997826 6.966347 14.928478 31.412115
2026-04-26 0.127246 0.405812 1.112972 2.884290 6.937957 15.304657 33.064358
2026-05-03 0.111375 0.374645 1.071485 2.878942 7.140309 16.158552 35.726646
2026-05-10 0.098308 0.348316 1.037349 2.885517 7.368572 17.084288 38.608898
2026-05-17 0.085259 0.318653 0.989027 2.849435 7.493568 17.801575 41.118374
2026-05-24 0.070107 0.278037 0.903107 2.703704 7.341127 17.903739 42.338255
2026-05-31 0.060862 0.254543 0.860848 2.665879 7.443926 18.575246 44.832436
2026-06-07 0.053513 0.235622 0.828362 2.649465 7.597329 19.373072 47.665752
2026-06-14 0.051607 0.236395 0.856036 2.805904 8.209066 21.276942 53.110591
2026-06-21 0.047860 0.229068 0.857015 2.885664 8.629630 22.767465 57.728192